29 May 2013 AMC

29 May 2013 AMC

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Briefing's Commentaries 

Stock Market Update 16:20 ET Dow -106.59 at 15302.8, Nasdaq -21.37 at 3467.52, S&P -11.70 at 1648.36 :[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages settled with modest losses as the S&P 500 shed 0.7%.  Equities slipped out of the gate as sellers drove the major averages to their lows 90 minutes into the session. This marked the return of bargain hunters, who helped the S&P return to its opening levels. However, the relative weakness of several influential groups kept the benchmark average from regaining its flat line.  Defensively-geared groups bore the brunt of today's selling as consumer staples, health care, telecom, and utilities all ended with losses larger than 1.5%.  Today's 1.5% decline in utilities ran the sector's month-to-date loss to 9.2% while the underperformance of consumer staples caused the sector to surrender all of its May gains.  While countercyclical sectors logged sharp losses, growth-sensitive groups held up generally well.  Financials and technology weathered the early selling as the relative strength of large components allowed the sectors to end little changed.  The financial space benefitted from the gains in Goldman Sachs (GS 162.87, +2.17) as the stock spent the entire day in positive territory before closing near its high.  Elsewhere, tech shares received a boost from key components like Apple (AAPL 444.95, +3.51) and Cisco Systems (CSCO 24.12, +0.23), as well as chipmakers. Intel(INTC 24.27, +0.19) settled higher by 0.8% while the PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 0.3%.  Industrials also outperformed, but the relative strength of the sector overshadowed the weakness of transportation related stocks. The Dow Jones Transportation Average fell 1.1% as 18 of 20 components ended in the red.  Also of note, homebuilders saw broad losses as the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF(XHB 31.20, -0.73) dropped 2.4%.  Today's early selling caused the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX 14.86, +0.38) to jump above 15.00% for the first time in over a month as investors adjusted their near-term volatility expectations.  Although below-average volume has been a recurring theme in the market, today's decline occurred on above-average volume as 723 million shares changed hands on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.  Economic news of the day was limited to the weekly MBA Mortgage Index, which decreased 8.8% to follow last week's decline of 9.8%.  Tomorrow, weekly initial claims and the second estimate of first quarter GDP will be reported at 8:30 ET while April pending home sales will be announced at 10:00 ET. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 617/2452. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 758/1726.

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Jason's Commentaries


What a volatile session we had last night... Dow was down by 150 points before closing at -100 points. Not much negative economic reports but however, causing such a volatile session. If the volatility continues, we might be at the top of the trend already, buying might be slowing down and profit taking will cause a massive sell-off. 

Volumes were standing at 722m shares traded on the NYSE while the DVOL outpaced the UVOL by 2:1. Not exactly that bearish as I thought. And surprisingly, the TRIN was in the bullish region through the session. This clearly showed that the market was oversold last night. I won't say it's a clear bear day but rather it's a flat day to the downside to me with the internals pointing towards the downside. VIX closed slightly higher at 14.82 points.

  On the technical perspective, it looks like a reversal pattern on the resistance at 15550 and we might be looking at a double top forming. But.. i'm gonna see what the market is doing before taking my entries. 

On the commodities, the precious metals had a rather volatile Wednesday and Oil had a massive drop which caused Oil to be at 92.70 as of 4.39am ET. The Treasuries did not have much movements ahead of the Pending home sales and the Unemployment claims. Futures were pointing towards the downside for the open for Thursday and I reckon the market is likely to stay flat for today. 

Market Call: FLAT to Upside

Date: 26 Apr 2013