Friday 30 November 2012

29 Nov 2012 AMC

29 Nov 2012
Market Summary 



The market yesterday managed to rack up some gains... Seems that we're ending the week with some solid gains.. Now that the SPX has cross above the 200MA, and now above the 100MA, we're looking at some bullish market for now... Comes a good time especially the Santa Claus Rally is coming soon. 

In other news

 Lockheed Martin Corp., Marietta, Ga. (FA8525-13-D-0003), is being awarded a $56,688,000 cost-plus-fixed-fee, cost-reimbursement- no-fee, firm-fixed-price, time and materials contract for the C-5 sustaining engineering and technical support services.  The location of the performance is Marietta, Ga.  Work is expected to be completed by Nov. 30, 2012.  The contracting activity is AFLCMC/WLKB, Robins Air Force Base, Ga. 
           

 Lockheed Martin Missiles and Fire Control, Orlando, Fla. (FA8540-13-C-0008), is being awarded a $31,937,699 firm-fixed-price, cost-plus-fixed-fee, time and material contract for Sniper Advanced Targeting Pods for the Iraq Air Force.  The location of the performance is Orlando, Fla.  Work is expected to be completed by July 2015.  The contracting activity is AFLCMC/WNKCB, Robins Air Force Base, Ga.  Contract involves foreign military sales to Iraq.



Market Internals







The internals are showing bullish signs after thanksgiving.. Not that bad reaction at all...



Leaders and Laggards




Healthcare and materials led the market yesterday, but post only some modest gains.


Technical Updates






Now the moving averages are moving towards a bullish sign... Gonna be looking at some retracement on Friday so that the market can continue going up next week... 

Commentaries 




Stock Market Update
16:25 ET Dow +36.71 at 13021.82, Nasdaq +20.25 at 3012.03, S&P +6.02 at 1415.95 :[BRIEFING.COM] Today's session started on a positive note after yesterday's comments from House Speaker Boehner were viewed as supportive. However, the Speaker held another press conference today at which he said no "substantive progress" has been made. The S&P 500 responded to Mr. Boehner's remarks by falling back to its flat line. The weakness did not last long, and the benchmark average was able to regain its losses to close higher by 0.4%. 

The materials sector was one of the top performers, and producers of building materials outperformed. The space was supported by the October pending home sales data which pointed to a 5.2% increase, well ahead of the 1.0% expected by the Briefing.com consensus. Headwaters (HW 7.64, +0.19), Martin Marietta Materials (MLM 90.79, +3.99), and Vulcan Materials (VMC 51.31, +1.62) all gained between 2.6% and 4.6%. 

Steelmakers saw broad strength, and the Market Vectors Steel ETF (SLX 44.34, +0.65) settled higher by 1.5%. Though most major steelmakers registered gains, Cliffs NaturalResources (CLF 28.89, -0.72) was a notable underperformer, down 2.4%. 

Tech shares also outperformed, and the SPDR Technology Select Sector ETF (XLK 29.16, +0.14) gained 0.5%. The largest tech component, Apple (AAPL 589.36, +6.42), advanced 1.1% as it attempted to regain its 200-day moving average near $600. 

Elsewhere, Intel (INTC 19.53, -0.56) slipped 2.8% after Goldman Sachs lowered its price target for the stock to $16 from $20. Meanwhile, peer Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 2.04, +0.08) settled higher by 4.1% as the company sought to sell its campus in Austin, Texas. 

Also of note, Research In Motion (RIMM 11.54, +0.44) spiked 4.0% after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to ‘buy' from ‘neutral.' The maker of Blackberry phones has been on a strong run recently, gaining nearly 60% since the start of November. 

As the end of the month nears, retailers have begun to report their November same store sales. Out of the 16 companies which have already reported, only four have beaten their estimates. Of those four, Stein Mart (SMRT 8.56, +0.97) led the way with a 12.8% gain. Today's advance occurred after the company reported a 7.1% growth in same store sales on expectations of a 2.3% increase. 

On the downside, Kohl's (KSS 45.02, -6.13) sank 12.0% after its same store sales declined by 5.6% on expectations of a 2.1% increase. Like many retailers which missed their estimates, Kohl's blamed the softness on the aftereffects of Superstorm Sandy. As a result of the disappointing data, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 63.36, -0.46) shed 0.7%. 

Overnight, India's Sensex gained 1.8% after Goldman Sachs upgraded Indian stocks. As a result, the iPath MSCI India Index ETN (INP 58.37, +1.90) was the best performing regional ETN, up 3.4%. Indian stocks listed in the U.S. reflected the strength as they registered broad gains. Among financials, HDFC Bank (HDB 42.85, +2.58) and ICICI Bank (IBN 41.54, +2.76) jumped 6.4% and 7.1%, respectively. Elsewhere, automakerTata Motors (TTM 25.60, +1.39) surged 5.7% and business technology consultantInfosys (INFY 44.66, +1.22) settled higher by 2.8%. 

The Dow Jones Transportation Average added 0.6% as companies specializing in package delivery led the bellwether complex. Expeditors International of Washington(EXPD 37.35, +0.60), FedEx (FDX 90.80, +1.31), and UPS (UPS 73.56, +0.85) all gained between 1.2% and 1.6%. Earlier, Stifel Nicolaus upgraded Expeditors International to ‘buy' from ‘hold.' In addition, morning reports indicated UPS may pursue a network sharing agreement with its rivals in order to save the TNT Express deal. 

The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 393,000, which was lower than the 395,000 that had been expected by the Briefing.com consensus. The tally was below the revised prior week count of 416,000. As for continuing claims, they fell to 3.287 million from 3.357 million. 

The second estimate of third quarter GDP pointed to growth of 2.7%, up from the 2.0% observed in the preliminary reading. The upwardly revised increase is slightly lower than the 2.8% increase that economists polled by Briefing.com had expected. Also, the third quarter GDP Deflator was revised down, to 2.7%. 

In Friday's economic data, October personal income and personal spending as well as core PCE prices will all be released at 8:30 ET. Lastly, November Chicago PMI will be reported at 9:45 ET. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 2173/846. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1790/676.





After Hours
17:58 ET CBK +17.2%, MITL +9.4%, ZUMZ -6.8%, YUM -6.2% following earnings/guidance :
Today's session started on a positive note after yesterday's comments from House Speaker Boehner were viewed as supportive. However, the Speaker held another press conference today at which he said no "substantive progress" has been made. The S&P 500 responded to Mr. Boehner's remarks by falling back to its flat line. The weakness did not last long, and the benchmark average was able to regain its losses to close higher by 0.4%.
Today after the close the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: AVGO, FIVE, MENT, MITL, OVTI, PSUN, SPLK, ULTA, YOKU, ZUMZ
Futures are higher after hours: S&P 500 futures are +1.34 from fair value of 1414.36 and Nasdaq100 futures are +0.74 from fair value of 2679.26.
Tomorrow morning before the open three economic report is scheduled to be released: 1) Personal Income (Consensus 0.2%), 2) Personal Spending (Consensus 0.1%), and 3) PCE Prices - Core (Consensus 0.2%).
Tomorrow before the open the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: BKS, BECN, CBRL, FRO, GBDC, ISLE, KR, LQDT, LTXC, NJR, SFL, TIF

Commodities




Treasuries









There are not much data coming out on Friday except Draghi's speech on Friday. We're likely to see a a relatively weak Friday ahead of the weekend.


Market Call: Flat to downside
Date: 30 Nov 2012

Thursday 29 November 2012

28 Nov 2012 AMC

28 Nov 2012
Market Summary 



It's really a very very volatile day yesterday. Stopped out my position and went all the way up.

And one of the moving factor is both the Senator and Mr Obama mentioning positive things about the fiscal cliff...

Other than that, home sales were below expectation that drove the market down in the initial part of day..

Market Internals



Needless to say... it's definitely a bullish day... Although bears dominated in the first half of the day.. But the bulls turned the tide after lunch. 



Leaders and Laggards







Technical Updates






Having finding support on the 20MA, we might be looking at some nice uptrend from here...

Commentaries 



Stock Market Update
16:15 ET Dow +106.98 at 12985.11, Nasdaq +23.99 at 2991.78, S&P +10.99 at 1409.93 : [BRIEFING.COM] Equities opened lower, but staged a reversal when top lawmakers reiterated their desire to reach a budget agreement. After marking a session low near its 200-day moving average, the S&P 500 reversed 25 handles to session highs. The reversal was aided by comments from House Speaker Boehner who said he is optimistic a deal can be reached in order to avoid going over the fiscal cliff. In addition, the President held a press conference where he reiterated his belief in higher tax rates for top earners. He also stressed that if Congress fails to approve selective tax increases, going over the cliff will result in an across-the-board tax hike. The S&P 500 ended the session with a gain of 0.8%. 

The Federal Reserve released its October Beige Book, which pointed to modest growth in seven Districts. Meanwhile, two Districts reported stronger growth while Boston, New York, and Philadelphia saw weak performance. The weakness in New York and Philadelphia was attributed to disruptions caused by Superstorm Sandy. Further, contacts in several regions expressed concerns over the uncertainty surrounding the ongoing budget debate. 

Consumer credit was mixed as higher demand for home mortgage loans and auto loans increased consumer lending in some Districts. However, small business loan demand was generally described as weaker to only moderately higher. 

Regarding hiring, "most districts reported modest gains while wage and price pressures remained subdued. " 

Today's housing data pointed to a 0.3% decrease in October new home sales. The annualized rate of 368,000 fell short of expectations and caused homebuilder stocks to fall to their respective lows. Shares of major builders have enjoyed strong performance since the start of the year, but today's economic data contributed to industry-wide weakness. DR Horton (DHI 19.42, -0.16), PulteGroup (PHM 17.00, -0.11), and Lennar(LEN 38.38, -0.34) all lost between 0.6% and 0.9%. 

Despite the weakness in homebuilders, consumer discretionary stocks outperformed after a handful of retailers reported strong earnings. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO 20.77, +1.38) surged 7.1% after beating on top and bottom lines. In addition, the company issued in-line fourth quarter earnings guidance. 

PVH (PVH 116.46, +7.17) rose by 6.6% after its third quarter earnings of $2.34 beat the Capital IQ consensus estimate by $0.05. Despite the earnings beat, the company guided fourth quarter earnings below consensus and suggested revenue is expected to come in above analyst expectations. Regarding full-year earnings and revenue, the company expects both figures to be below current expectations. 

Express (EXPR 14.15, +1.16) spiked 8.9% following its bottom line beat. In addition, the apparel retailer reported in-line revenue and issued upside fourth quarter earnings guidance. 

Movado Group (MOV 35.50, +3.27) soared 10.2% after beating on earnings and revenue. The luxury distributor also raised its full-year earnings guidance in-line with the Capital IQ consensus. Lastly, the company declared a special dividend of $0.75. 

Also of note, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR 36.86, +7.91) surged 27.3% after reporting strong earnings. During the fourth quarter, the company earned $0.64, which was $0.16 ahead of the Capital IQ consensus estimate. Additionally, the beverage company beat on revenue and issued first quarter and full-year earnings and revenue guidance above consensus. 

Elsewhere, Costco Wholesale (COST 102.58, +6.07) gained 6.3% after reporting a 6.0% increase in November comparable store sales. In addition, the wholesaler declared a special cash dividend of $7.00. 

Solar stocks saw broad strength after JA Solar (JASO 0.70, +0.05) and Yingli Green Energy (YGE 1.62, +0.19) reported earnings. JA Solar rose by 7.7% after reporting mixed results. During the third quarter, the company recorded a loss of $0.30, which was $0.11 worse than the Capital IQ consensus estimate. However, JASO's revenue of $260.90 million exceeded expectations. Meanwhile, Yingli Green Energy spiked 13.3% after beating on earnings and reporting revenue below consensus. In addition, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2012 shipment guidance. Major solar names all outperformed and the Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN 14.04, +0.68) rose by 5.1%. 

The weekly MBA Mortgage Index reflected a 0.9% decrease in mortgage applications. Today's reading follows the prior week's decrease of 2.2%. 

Tomorrow, weekly initial and continuing claims will be reported at 8:30 ET. In addition, the second estimate of third quarter GDP and the GDP deflator will also be announced at 8:30 ET. Lastly, October pending home sales will hit the wires at 10:00 ET. 

The U.S. Treasury will auction off $29 billion in 7-yr notes. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 2070/929. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1505/946.
  



After Hours
18:06 ET BLOX +17.6%, SMTC +8.1%, LZB -13.4%, ARO -7.2% following earnings/guidance :
Equities opened lower, but staged a reversal when top lawmakers reiterated their desire to reach a budget agreement. After marking a session low near its 200-day moving average, the S&P 500 reversed 25 handles to session highs. The reversal was aided by comments from House Speaker Boehner who said he is optimistic a deal can be reached in order to avoid going over the fiscal cliff. In addition, the President held a press conference where he reiterated his belief in higher tax rates for top earners. He also stressed that if Congress fails to approve selective tax increases, going over the cliff will result in an across-the-board tax hike. The S&P 500 ended the session with a gain of 0.8%.
Today after the close the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: ARO, CWTR, GMAN, GES, BLOX, LZB, NWY, PLL, RUE, SMTC, TIVO, WDAY
Futures are lower after hours: S&P 500 futures are -2.21 from fair value of 1408.11 and Nasdaq100 futures are -2.71 from fair value of 2664.46.
Tomorrow morning before the open two economic report is scheduled to be released: 1) Initial Claims (Consensus 395k) and Continuing Claims (Consensus 3325k), 2) GDP - Second Estimate (Consensus 2.8%) and GDP Deflator - Second Estimate (Consensus 2.8%).
Tomorrow before the open the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: BKS, BECN, CBRL, FRO, GBDC, ISLE, KR, LQDT, LTXC, NJR, SFL, TIF

Commodities






Treasuries






There are not much movements for the treasures and commodities.. Oil Inventories were under production by 300,000 barrels. We can be looking at some bounce from Oil for the next few days.

As for the equity market, we will be likely to be sideways and volatile for quite a while until the congress manage to come up with something feasible for all of us.

Market Call:FLAT to downside
Date: 29 Nov 2012

Wednesday 28 November 2012

27 Nov 2012 AMC



27 Nov 2012
Market Summary 



Yesterday was a little more bear than I expected after one stupid senator said that there are little progress made on the negotiation in the congress.

There was a sudden sell down at approx 230pm ET which subsequently turn into a bearish close..

Market Internals



.

In the internals, market started with the bears and bulls on par... after 12pm,  bears started to outpaced the bulls and closed the day...

Leaders and Laggards


Looking at the sectors...only utilities cameup... while financials is the biggest losers.....



Technical Updates







On the technical note, the market is making a retracement and possibly sitting on the support. we might be looking at some possible upside to go into Christmas.


Commentaries 

Stock Market Update
16:20 ET Dow -89.24 at 12878.13, Nasdaq -8.99 at 2967.79, S&P -7.35 at 1398.94 :[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks began today's session on a negative note, and finished on their lows. Overnight reports from Europe indicated the International Monetary Fund and the Eurozone finance ministers agreed on the terms of the next installment of Greek aid. As part of the agreement, the country's debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to decline from 190% in 2014 to 124% in 2020. The news did little to inspire investor confidence as the markets are beginning to doubt the sovereign's ability to reach the lofty goals. Instead, market participants remained focused on Washington where Senator Harry Reid said little progress has been made in budget negotiations. After the Senate majority leader's comments, the S&P 500 fell to session lows from its flat line. The index declined further when a final round of selling pressured it to a loss of 0.5%.

The utilities sector appears poised for a rebound after enduring a rough month. Yesterday, utility stocks gained 1.3% on the strength of electricity providers after Deutsche Bank upgraded Exelon (EXC 29.76, +0.44). Today, the story repeated as the sector registered gains after ISI Group upgraded Exelon to ‘buy' from ‘neutral.' Exelon added 1.5% and other electricity providers caught a bid as well. NV Energy(NVE 18.31, +0.25), UNS Energy (UNS 41.30, +0.76), and PPL (PPL 28.81, +0.37) all gained between 1.4% and 1.9%.

Technology stocks performed largely in-line with the broader market, but Apple (AAPL 584.78, -4.75) underperformed with a loss of 0.8%. Earlier, the company fired the manager responsible for the issues with its map service.

Also of note, Seagate (STX 25.95, -1.39) slid 5.1% after company insiders exercised their options and sold stock. The news was a negative for Seagate as the company was seen as a potential takeover target. Stock sales by insiders suggest a deal is far from being completed. Western Digital (WDC 34.69, -1.12) fell 3.1% in sympathy.

The consumer staples sector outperformed the broader market, and the SPDR Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP 35.38, -0.03) shed 0.1%. Among food producers, ConAgra (CAG 29.63, +1.34) rose by 4.7% after announcing plans to acquire Ralcorp (RAH 88.80, +18.57) for $90 per share. This represented a 28.2% premium to RAH's Monday closing price.

Elsewhere, Monster Beverage (MNST 51.96, +6.09) advanced 13.3%. Earlier, a letter sent from the Federal Drug Administration to Illinois Senator Dick Durbin indicated the regulatory body is conducting an investigation into the potential danger of Monster products as well as the possible need for increased regulation. However, the FDA said it does not see a problem with taurine and guarana, which are the two main additives in energy drinks.

A handful of footwear manufacturers saw strength after Goldman initiated coverage on two stocks. Crocs (CROX 13.49, +1.14) gained 9.2% after being assigned a ‘buy' rating. Meanwhile, Deckers Outdoor (DECK 36.27, +1.02) settled higher by 2.9% after receiving a ‘neutral' grade.

Elsewhere, Skechers (SKX 19.70, +0.64) rose by 3.4% while K-Swiss (KSWS 3.09, +0.11) surged 3.7%.

Looking at notable names which reported earnings since yesterday's close, ADT(ADT 43.57, +0.47) added 1.1% despite delivering disappointing quarterly results. The security company's earnings missed the Capital IQ consensus estimate by $0.01, while its revenue of $812 million fell short of the expected $819.85 million.

Separately, Thor (THO 38.60, -5.00) sank 11.5% after reporting first quarter earnings of $0.60 on $875.6 million in revenue. The company's bottom line fell short of analyst estimates by $0.03 while its revenue was reported in-line with expectations. PeerWinnebago (WGO 13.90, -0.13) slipped 0.9%.

Reviewing today's economic news, the September Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index rose by 3.0%, while a 3.1% increase had been expected by the Briefing.com consensus. This followed the previous month's increase of 2.0%.

The latest consumer confidence reading for November came in at 73.7, while economists polled by Briefing.com expected a reading of 73.0. Today's figure follows last month's reading of 72.2.

Separately, the September Housing Price Index from the FHFA increased by 1.1%, which follows a 0.7% increase observed during the prior month.

Durable goods orders were unchanged in October, which was better than the 0.4% decrease that had been expected among economists polled by Briefing.com. This follows the downwardly revised prior month increase of 9.2%. Excluding transportation related items, durable goods orders increased in October by 1.5%, which was better than the 0.4% decrease that had been broadly anticipated. Prior month's reading was revised down to reflect an increase of 1.7%.

In tomorrow's economic data, the weekly MBA Mortgage Index will be reported at 7:00 ET. In addition, October new home sales and the October Beige Book will be released at 10:00 ET and 14:00 ET, respectively.

The U.S. Treasury will auction off $35 billion in 5-yr notes. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1339/1711. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1114/1342.
After Hours
16:53 ET GMCR +23.3%, GWRE +1.8%, ADI -2.9%, FMCN -0.7% following earnings/guidance :
Stocks began today's session on a negative note, and finished on their lows. Overnight reports from Europe indicated the International Monetary Fund and the Eurozone finance ministers agreed on the terms of the next installment of Greek aid. As part of the agreement, the country's debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to decline from 190% in 2014 to 124% in 2020. The news did little to inspire investor confidence as the markets are beginning to doubt the sovereign's ability to reach the lofty goals. Instead, market participants remained focused on Washington where Senator Harry Reid said little progress has been made in budget negotiations. After the Senate majority leader's comments, the S&P 500 fell to session lows from its flat line. The index declined further when a final round of selling pressured it to a loss of 0.5%.
Today after the close the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: ADI, CPRT, FMCN, GMCR, GWRE, PVH, UTI, 
Futures are higher after hours: S&P 500 futures are +0.64 from fair value of 1396.76 and Nasdaq100 futures are +1.16 from fair value of 2640.59.
Tomorrow morning before the open one economic report is scheduled to be released: 1) MBA Mortgage Index.
Tomorrow before the open the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: AEO, ANN, GIB, EXPR, JASO, JOSB, MOV, LEDS, SPH, TFM, YGE



Commodities




Treasuries






The main events for Wednesday are Home Sales and possibly the Beige Book.


Market Call: Flat to downside
Date: 28 Nov 2012

Tuesday 27 November 2012

26 Nov 2012 AMC


26 Nov 2012

Market Summary 



Awesome... I was right on that... but i was too late to take profit on Black Friday... Oh well... I reckon the market will be constipating for a while before the sales report and news coming out from Congress...



In other news...
Eurogroup continues discussing next tranche of Greek aid
Mark Carney named as the new Bank of England Governor
Parties supporting referendum on independence win majority in Spain's Catalan elections


Market Internals



.
The volumes were relatively weak yesterday and it's a tough fight between the bulls and the bears... However, I would say the bulls win the day and I'm looking to more upside to the market..

Leaders and Laggards



Technical Updates








On the DOW and SPX, having a hanging man at the resistance... That should be pointing to a sideways market for a while...

Commentaries 

Stock Market Update
16:15 ET Dow -42.31 at 12967.37, Nasdaq +9.93 at 2976.78, S&P -2.86 at 1406.29 :[BRIEFING.COM] Equities began the week on a cautious note as uncertainty crept back into the markets. Overseas, the Eurogroup continues to discuss the next tranche of Greek aid. Reports from the talks indicate lawmakers remain split over whether or not haircuts should be applied to the outstanding Greek debt. Additionally, elections in the Spanish region of Catalonia resulted in two-thirds of the vote going to parties which support a referendum on independence. The European news combined with some profit-taking following Friday's rally translated into a downbeat session which saw the S&P 500 slip 0.2%.

The telecom space was the biggest laggard as traders rotated out of high-dividend stocks. The sector is likely to see further weakness until a fiscal cliff resolution is agreed upon. Even if a timely compromise is reached, it remains to be seen what impact the agreement will have on high-yielding stocks. Today, AT&T (T 33.97, -0.39) and Verizon (VZ 43.30, -0.36), which generate respective yields of 5.2% and 4.7%, both lost near 1.1%.

Retailers succumbed to the broad market pressure, and the SPDR S&P 500 Retail ETF (XRT 62.59, -0.61) slid 1.0%. An earlier story by MarketWatch pointed to a 1.8% decrease in Black Friday sales despite a 3.5% uptick in foot traffic. However, it should be noted that two major retailers, Target (TGT 62.77, -1.70) and Wal-Mart (WMT 69.91, -0.29) were closed last year, but opened on Thursday evening this year. Because of this, a portion of sales which would have counted towards Friday's total, were registered on Thursday evening.

The weakness was visible across all retailers as no particular group bore sole responsibility for the decline. Grocery store operators SUPERVALU (SVU 2.63, -0.08) and Safeway (SWY 16.41, -0.55) saw seeing respective losses of 3.0% and 3.2%. Looking at apparel retailers, Macy's (M 39.86, -1.87) lost 4.5% and Aeropostale (ARO 13.77, -0.68) ended lower by 4.7% after Janney Montgomery Scott downgraded the stock to ‘neutral' from ‘buy.'

Last week, the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF 15.78, -0.06) gained over 4.0% after a brief test of its 200-day moving average in the $15.08 area. Today, the ETF proxy for financial stocks shed 0.4% and most majors underperformed. Wells Fargo (WFC 32.90, -0.30) and Citigroup (C 35.57, -0.46) were among the biggest laggards as the two lost 0.9% and 1.3%, respectively. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs(GS 120.94, +0.63) and Morgan Stanley (MS 16.61, +0.18) registered gains and outperformed their peers.

Elsewhere, European financials also saw relative weakness. Deutsche Bank (DB 43.30, -0.57) and Barclays (BCS 15.51, -0.77) lost 1.3% and 4.7%, respectively. Barclays slumped after Qatar Holdings, LLC sold the remainder of the bank's warrants held since the onset of the financial crisis. As a result of the sale, a $1.19 billion Barclays stock offering was triggered. In addition, the Financial Times indicated some investors are calling on management to split up the company.

The utilities sector fell over 7.0% in the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy. Today, the space led the broader market with a gain of 1.3%. Exelon (EXC 29.32, +0.75) gained 2.6% after Deutsche Bank upgraded the stock to ‘buy' from ‘hold.' Looking at other electric utilities, FirstEnergy (FE 41.77, +0.70) rose by 1.7% and PPL Corporation(PPL 28.44, +0.36) added 1.3%.

Technology stocks also managed close in the black. Shares of Apple (AAPL 589.53, +18.03) settled higher by 3.2% as the stock remains in focus after tumbling nearly 20% from its all-time high of $705.07. Earlier, Citigroup initiated coverage of the stock with a ‘buy' rating and a $675 price target.

In other analyst action, Facebook (FB 25.94, +1.94) surged 8.1% after BTIG upgraded the stock to ‘neutral' from ‘sell.'

Also of note, 3D Systems (DDD 46.55, +4.81) spiked 11.5% after unveiling the next generation of its ProJet 3D printers.

Looking at tomorrow's economic data, October durable orders and durable orders ex-transportation will be reported at 8:30 ET. In addition, the September Case-Shiller 20-city Index will be released at 9:00 ET. Lastly, November consumer confidence and September FHFA Housing Price Index will both hit the wires at 10:00 ET. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1309/1725. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1338/1124.

After Hours
17:46 ET HI +1.0%, BV +0.6%, THO -6.9%, CHC -2.9% following earnings/guidance :
Equities began the week on a cautious note as uncertainty crept back into the markets. Overseas, the Eurogroup continues to discuss the next tranche of Greek aid. Reports from the talks indicate lawmakers remain split over whether or not haircuts should be applied to the outstanding Greek debt. Additionally, elections in the Spanish region of Catalonia resulted in two-thirds of the vote going to parties which support a referendum on independence. The European news combined with some profit-taking following Friday's rally translated into a downbeat session which saw the S&P 500 slip 0.2%. 
Today after the close the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: BV, CHC, THO, GAME, HI, GASS
Futures are mixed after hours: S&P 500 futures are +0.96 from fair value of 1404.04 and Nasdaq100 futures are -0.52 from fair value of 2650.27.
Tomorrow morning before the open two economic reports are scheduled to be released: 1) Durable Orders (Consensus -0.4%) and Durable Orders -ex Transportation (Consensus -0.4%).
Tomorrow before the open the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: ADT, RAH




Commodities



Treasuries







Oh well... there will be 2 major news coming out and one important dude will be speaking before the market open as the Durable Goods Orders comes out.... 1 and half hour later will be consumer confidence...

We will be looking at some sideways movement for a while....

Market Call: FLAT to the downside
Date: 26 Nov 2012

Sunday 25 November 2012

23 Nov 2012 AMC


23 Nov 2012 AMC
Market Summary 



Whoa... tradition did hold... Seems that the market rally on much weaker volume! Well.. this is the week after thanksgiving... a word of advice... Long into Weakness Prior, Exit into Strength after =D
The key focus for Monday will be the Black Friday and Cyber Monday Sales report. Be sure that these 2 will definitely decide whether Santa is coming this year end.

Market Internals




 

 Half the normal trading volume as the day is halved... oh well... It's holiday!
 
Leaders and Laggards




Technical Updates




 
 




For the NASDAQ and DOW... they are approaching the 200MA while the SPX is attempting to cross above the 200MA. My take.. SPX will be lagging today, unable to break the 200MA.

Commentaries 



Stock Market Update
13:15 ET Dow +172.79 at 13009.68, Nasdaq +40.30 at 2966.85, S&P +18.12 at 1409.15 : [BRIEFING.COM] Equities began today's abbreviated session with a bullish bias. The sentiment was maintained into the close as the S&P 500 reached its high during the first hour of trade, and hovered near that area until the close. The markets were unfazed by headlines from overseas which indicated the Eurozone Summit has been postponed and will likely take place early next year. Today's volume was well below-average and trade was trapped in a narrow range. As a result, the S&P 500 advanced 1.3%. 

Technology stocks led the broader market. Shares of Apple (AAPL 571.50, +9.80) added 1.7% as the stock attempts to halt its recent slide. 

Semiconductor manufacturers outperformed and the PHLX Semiconductor index gained 1.8%. Among individual stocks which comprise the index, Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM 16.84, +0.58) advanced 3.6% after Taiwan's finance minister called on the government to begin purchasing individual equities. 

Looking at other outperformers within the semiconductor average, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 1.95, +0.08) and Lam Research (LRCX 35.34, +0.84) saw respective gains of 4.3% and 2.4%. 

Also of note, OCZ Technology (OCZ 1.16, -0.03) slid 2.5% after the company received a Securities and Exchange Commission inquiry and a subpoena requesting certain company documents. The investigation pertains to financial reporting of customer incentive programs among other matters. 

Elsewhere, Research in Motion (RIMM 11.66, +1.40) surged 13.7% after National Bank Financial raised its estimates for Blackberry 10 sales. In addition, National Bank Financial raised the price target to $15 from $12. 

Utility stocks continued their recent slide. The space was the only decliner among S&P sectors as settled lower by 0.3%. The biggest relative weakness was observed among electricity providers as Exelon (EXC 28.57, -0.28), Edison International (EIX 43.49, -0.33), and Southern Company (SO 42.03, -0.25) all lost between 0.6% and 1.0%. 

The extended weakness in utility stocks comes as investors prepare for the possibility of a dividend tax hike. In addition, electricity providers are expected to face tougher regulation after Superstorm Sandy caused considerable damage to east coast infrastructure. Earlier in the week, the investigative panel appointed by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo named Regina Calcaterra as the director. The newly-established panel will investigate utilities' preparation and response to Superstorm Sandy. 

The Dow Jones Transportation Average advanced 1.1% and railroad stocks saw relative strength. Kansas City Southern (KSU 77.61, +1.28) gained 1.7% and Union Pacific(UNP 121.98, +1.94) advanced 1.6%. 

There are no economic data points scheduled for a Monday release. 

Week in Review: Stocks Register Gains During Abbreviated Week 

On Monday, equities opened amid optimism regarding a potential fiscal cliff compromise. In addition, headlines out of Europe indicated the next tranche of Greek aid will likely come through before December 5. The positive sentiment supported the S&P 500 throughout the day and the benchmark average gained 2.0% after a final round of buying ran it to a session high close. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq outperformed with a gain of 2.2%.Apple (AAPL 571.50, +9.80) spiked 7.2% in an attempt to establish support and put a stop to its recent softness. 

Tuesday began on a down note after Moody's cut France's sovereign rating to ‘Aa1' from ‘Aaa.' In addition, disappointing earnings from Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 12.44, +0.50) contributed to the cautious sentiment. The major averages managed to break into positive territory by midday, but tumbled to fresh lows as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke in front of the Economic Club of New York. During his remarks, Mr. Bernanke commented on the fiscal cliff by saying that if a resolution is not reached, the economy would slide into recession. In such case, the Federal Reserve would be powerless as the Chairman does not believe the Fed has the tools necessary to deal with that eventuality. The S&P 500 followed the early afternoon slide with another climb towards the unchanged level before ending with a gain of 0.1%. Hewlett-Packard slumped 12.0% after reporting mixed results. In addition to the results, investors were drawn to another point of interest in the quarterly report. The report included an $8.8 billion charge related to serious accounting improprieties and misrepresentations by Autonomy Corporation before it came under Hewlett-Packard's control. Following the earnings release, ISI Group downgraded HPQ to ‘neutral' from ‘buy.' 

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 endured choppy trade during the first two hours of action. The index followed the early indecision with a run to session highs where it spent the majority of the afternoon. The market received some encouraging news from the Middle East where Israel and Hamas have reached a cease-fire agreement. However, the Eurozone remains a concern into the holiday as the next tranche of Greek aid was yet to be approved. The day's trade was confined to a tight range and volume was well below average. As a result, the S&P 500 ended higher by 0.2%. Salesforce.com (CRM 159.45, +0.67) spiked 8.8% after beating on the top and bottom lines. In addition to the quarterly beat, the cloud computing company issued in-line fourth quarter and full-year earnings and revenue guidance. 

Equity and bond markets were closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 2438/476. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1776/550.

Commodities



Treasuries




Weekly Analysis
Week 38


Technical Updates






















 
Commentaries


Weekly Wrap 
Dow +172.79 at 13009.68, Nasdaq +40.30 at 2966.85, S&P +18.12 at 1409.15
Equities began today's abbreviated session with a bullish bias. The sentiment was maintained into the close as the S&P 500 reached its high during the first hour of trade, and hovered near that area until the close. The markets were unfazed by headlines from overseas which indicated the Eurozone Summit has been postponed and will likely take place early next year. Today's volume was well below-average and trade was trapped in a narrow range. As a result, the S&P 500 advanced 1.3%.
Technology stocks led the broader market. Shares of Apple (AAPL 571.50, +9.80) added 1.7% as the stock attempts to halt its recent slide.
Semiconductor manufacturers outperformed and the PHLX Semiconductor index gained 1.8%. Among individual stocks which comprise the index, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM 16.84, +0.58) advanced 3.6% after Taiwan's finance minister called on the government to begin purchasing individual equities.
Looking at other outperformers within the semiconductor average, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 1.95, +0.08) and Lam Research (LRCX 35.34, +0.84) saw respective gains of 4.3% and 2.4%.
Also of note, OCZ Technology (OCZ 1.16, -0.03) slid 2.5% after the company received a Securities and Exchange Commission inquiry and a subpoena requesting certain company documents. The investigation pertains to financial reporting of customer incentive programs among other matters.
Elsewhere, Research in Motion (RIMM 11.66, +1.40) surged 13.7% after National Bank Financial raised its estimates for Blackberry 10 sales. In addition, National Bank Financial raised the price target to $15 from $12.
Utility stocks continued their recent slide. The space was the only decliner among S&P sectors as settled lower by 0.3%. The biggest relative weakness was observed among electricity providers as Exelon (EXC 28.57, -0.28), Edison International (EIX 43.49, -0.33), and Southern Company (SO 42.03, -0.25) all lost between 0.6% and 1.0%.
The extended weakness in utility stocks comes as investors prepare for the possibility of a dividend tax hike. In addition, electricity providers are expected to face tougher regulation after Superstorm Sandy caused considerable damage to east coast infrastructure. Earlier in the week, the investigative panel appointed by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo named Regina Calcaterra as the director. The newly-established panel will investigate utilities' preparation and response to Superstorm Sandy.
The Dow Jones Transportation Average advanced 1.1% and railroad stocks saw relative strength. Kansas City Southern (KSU 77.61, +1.28) gained 1.7% and Union Pacific(UNP 121.98, +1.94) advanced 1.6%.
There are no economic data points scheduled for a Monday release.
Week in Review: Stocks Register Gains During Abbreviated Week
On Monday, equities opened amid optimism regarding a potential fiscal cliff compromise. In addition, headlines out of Europe indicated the next tranche of Greek aid will likely come through before December 5. The positive sentiment supported the S&P 500 throughout the day and the benchmark average gained 2.0% after a final round of buying ran it to a session high close. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq outperformed with a gain of 2.2%.Apple (AAPL 571.50, +9.80) spiked 7.2% in an attempt to establish support and put a stop to its recent softness.
Tuesday began on a down note after Moody's cut France's sovereign rating to ‘Aa1' from ‘Aaa.' In addition, disappointing earnings from Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 12.44, +0.50) contributed to the cautious sentiment. The major averages managed to break into positive territory by midday, but tumbled to fresh lows as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke in front of the Economic Club of New York. During his remarks, Mr. Bernanke commented on the fiscal cliff by saying that if a resolution is not reached, the economy would slide into recession. In such case, the Federal Reserve would be powerless as the Chairman does not believe the Fed has the tools necessary to deal with that eventuality. The S&P 500 followed the early afternoon slide with another climb towards the unchanged level before ending with a gain of 0.1%. Hewlett-Packard slumped 12.0% after reporting mixed results. In addition to the results, investors were drawn to another point of interest in the quarterly report. The report included an $8.8 billion charge related to serious accounting improprieties and misrepresentations by Autonomy Corporation before it came under Hewlett-Packard's control. Following the earnings release, ISI Group downgraded HPQ to ‘neutral' from ‘buy.'
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 endured choppy trade during the first two hours of action. The index followed the early indecision with a run to session highs where it spent the majority of the afternoon. The market received some encouraging news from the Middle East where Israel and Hamas have reached a cease-fire agreement. However, the Eurozone remains a concern into the holiday as the next tranche of Greek aid was yet to be approved. The day's trade was confined to a tight range and volume was well below average. As a result, the S&P 500 ended higher by 0.2%. Salesforce.com (CRM 159.45, +0.67) spiked 8.8% after beating on the top and bottom lines. In addition to the quarterly beat, the cloud computing company issued in-line fourth quarter and full-year earnings and revenue guidance.
Equity and bond markets were closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving.

Next Week In View







Market Call(Weekly): Depends on Sales Report! 
Market Call(26 Nov):  Flat to Downside
Date: 26 Nov 2012