Tuesday 20 November 2012

19 Nov 2012 AMC

19 Nov 2012
Market Summary 

What a gain... This is definitely a Up Friday and Up Monday! Seems to me that the tradition of Up week before Black Friday is going to hold this year.... and if the black friday pulls through, we should be a looking at a good Santa Claus Rally!

Stay Tune....

Market Internals



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The internals are all pointing towards a bullish side yesterday...


Leaders and Laggards


Of the sectors, Tech and Materials has the largest gains. AAPL rebounded from it's 6 months low and led Tech in its gain.


Technical Updates







On the technical side, it's very obvious the downtrend retraced and waiting for the Black Friday. While SPX already hit the 200SMA... while DOW and NASDAQ are still quite far away.

Commentaries 

Stock Market Update
16:20 ET Dow +207.65 at 12795.96, Nasdaq +62.94 at 2916.07, S&P +27.01 at 1386.89 : [BRIEFING.COM] Equities began today's session amid optimism regarding a potential fiscal cliff compromise. In addition, headlines out of Europe indicated the next tranche of Greek aid will likely come through before December 5. The positive sentiment lifted the S&P 500 to its session highs during the opening minutes. The benchmark average maintained these levels throughout the day before seeing a final round of buying which ran it to session highs into the close. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq outperformed with a gain of 2.2%.

The materials sector led the market higher. Within the space, two steel producers saw gains despite receiving downgrades. AK Steel (AKS 3.66, +0.09) rose by 2.5% following Longbow's downgrade to ‘neutral' from ‘buy.' Meanwhile, Mechel Steel (MTL 6.09, +0.25) advanced 4.3% after Morgan Stanley downgraded the company to ‘equal-weight' from ‘overweight.'

After seeing considerable pressure during recent market weakness, tech stocks rebounded broadly. The PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ 63.78, +1.48) settled higher by 2.4%, after losing more than 10% since September 21. Among technology bellwethers, Apple (AAPL 565.73, +38.05) spiked 7.2% in an attempt to establish support and put a stop to its recent softness.

Also of note, Cisco Systems (CSCO 18.30, +0.31) added 1.7% after announcing its intent to acquire Meraki, a start-up specializing in cloud-networking, for approximately $1.2 billion.

Due to the nature of their business, financials are expected to be highly sensitive to any hints of progress in budget discussions. Today, the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF 15.56, +0.28) ended higher by 1.9%. Bank of America (BAC 9.49, +0.37) was the top performer among the majors. The bank shares gained 4.1% after Stifel Nicolaus upgraded the stock to ‘buy' from ‘hold' with an $11 price target. Elsewhere, Citigroup (C 36.10, +1.12) added 3.2% after earlier reports indicated the company will eliminate about 300 sales and trading jobs. Separately, Citigroup has agreed to pay $360 million over a Lehman Brothers dispute.

The exuberance was apparent in European financials as well. Barclays (BCS 15.85, +0.87) advanced 5.8% after Goldman upgraded the stock to ‘buy' from ‘neutral.' Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank (DB 43.25, +1.68) and Credit Suisse (CS 22.92, +0.98) saw respective gains of 4.0% and 4.5%.

This morning, October existing home sales were reported at 4.79 million. The number was an improvement from the prior month, and it beat expectations. In addition, the November NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 46, which was also better-than-expected. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB 25.39, +0.50) rose by 2.0% as the strong data combined with a broad-market rally translated into outperformance by builders. PulteGroup (PHM 16.01, +0.33), and Lennar (LEN 36.81, +0.68) gained 1.4% and 1.9%, respectively.

Additionally, Lowe's (LOW 33.96, +1.98) surged 6.2% after the home improvement store operator reported third quarter earnings of $0.40 on $12.07 billion in revenue. Both figures were ahead of the Capital IQ consensus estimate, and were followed by in-line full-year earnings guidance.

Tomorrow's economic data includes October housing starts and building permits. Both figures will be reported at 8:30 ET. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 2715/359. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1950/523.



After Hours
18:00 ET KKD +13.8%, QIHU +3.8%, PWRD -3.8%, JACK -3.3% following earnings/guidance :
Equities began today's session amid optimism regarding a potential fiscal cliff compromise. In addition, headlines out of Europe indicated the next tranche of Greek aid will likely come through before December 5. The positive sentiment lifted the S&P 500 to its session highs during the opening minutes. The benchmark average maintained these levels throughout the day before seeing a final round of buying which ran it to session highs into the close. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq outperformed with a gain of 2.2%.
Today after the close the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: A, CRMT, BOBE, BRCD, DY, JACK, KKD, NUAN, PWRD, QIHU, SCVL, XUE, URBN
Futures are lower after hours: S&P 500 futures are -2.49 from fair value of 1384.29 and Nasdaq100 futures are -8.42 from fair value of 2593.92.
Tomorrow morning before the open one economic report is scheduled to be released: 1) Housing Starts (Consensus 840k) and Building Permits (Consensus 870k).
Tomorrow before the open the following companies are scheduled to report earnings: AMWD, BBY, BWS, CPB, CHS, CTRN, DAKT, DSX, DSW, FRED, HPQ, HNZ, HRL, NRGY, JKS, KIRK, MDT, NM, PDCO, SIG, TECD, TSL, VAL


Commodities




Treasuries





Bonds got sold off yesterday.... Seems to me that the market is really in for the black friday rally and the settlement of the fiscal cliff... It is very likely that this week will end in the black... but as in how deep in the black... it remains to be seen.


Market Call: DOWN
Date: 20 Nov 2012


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