Tuesday 11 September 2012

11 Sep 2012 AMC

11 September 2012
Market Summary



The market was as flat as expected.. However, got the direction a little wrong... it seems that people are not taking their positions off yet.. before US market open, Asia markets were in the red... and surprisingly the US market managed to chalk up some gains. 

I believe one of the main reason for the market to go up is that Merkel finally gained support to back the QE. Seems that the market is really getting what they want... 

However, judging by the way how the economies many countries deteriorate, there is a serious divergence in the market and the economies.. Economies are down but yet market is up at a 2 year high. Something is wrong isn't it... I'm going to be really cautious and judge how things go after the presidential election..   


Market Internals







It seems that the bulls barely outpaced the bears but volumes are getting a little ok...

Leaders and laggards






















Technical Updates









It seems that NASDAQ is the only indices that caused the drag in the market... Having a bullish engulfing on the DOW and a bullish harami on the SPX seems a little bullish to me...

Commentaries



Stock Market Update
16:20 ET Dow +69.07 at 13328.54, Nasdaq +0.51 at 3104.53, S&P +4.48 at 1433.56 :[BRIEFING.COM] Equities were broadly higher throughout the day before late afternoon selling sent the Nasdaq into negative territory. The dip also pushed the other indices lower, but they were able to hold most of their gains. The Dow finished higher by 0.5% while the Nasdaq ended flat. 

The energy sector was the top performer as the SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE 73.91, +0.78) finished higher by 1.1%. Within the group, Halliburton (HAL 35.35, +1.08) added 3.2%, while Anadarko Petroleum (APC 71.62, +1.22) and National Oilwell Varco (NOV 83.13, +2.11) gained between 1.7% and 2.6%. 

Solar stocks were broadly higher with the Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN 17.52, +0.46) ending firmer by 2.7%. First Solar (FSLR 21.80, +1.01) rose 4.9% after signing a power purchase agreement with PG&E (PCG 43.32, -0.13) for 72 megawatts of solar electricity generated at two photovoltaic plants in central California. First Solar also announced that its Agua Caliente project achieved a peak generating capacity of 250 megawatts. Meanwhile, ReneSola (SOL 1.51, +0.09) jumped 6.3% after announcing the release of its Micro RePlus inverter module. 

The financial sector outperformed the broader market. Within the space, Bank of America (BAC 9.03, +0.45) led the advancers with a 5.2% gain. Earlier today, Morgan Stanley (MS 17.25, +0.64) announced it will purchase the remainder of the Morgan Stanley Smith Barney stake held by Citigroup (C 32.66, +0.83). Morgan Stanley and Citigroup finished higher by 3.9% and 2.6% respectively. 

European banks continued their recent rally as Deutsche Bank (DB 42.62, +2.44) added 6.1% after announcing plans to cut costs by EUR4.5 billion in order to improve its capital position. The stock is up 55.9% since its 52-week low was hit on July 25th. Other European financials were also stronger as Barclays (BCS 13.72, +0.62) and Banco Santander (7.84, +0.24) posted gains of 4.7% and 3.2%, respectively. 

Apparel and luxury retailers were under pressure after Burberry cut its profit expectations for the second half of the fiscal year. The lower guidance clouded the outlook for companies with a similar line of business. Ralph Lauren (RL 156.22, -4.09) and Coach(COH 61.48, -1.12) slid 2.6% and 1.8%, respectively. Meanwhile, Fossil (FOSL 84.95, -0.92) and Tiffany (TIF 62.26, -0.78) both shed near 1.2%. 

Chipmaker AMD (AMD 3.75, +0.28) surged 8.1% after announcing a strategic licensing agreement with provider of 3D technology, RealD (RLD 9.82, -0.15). In addition, AMD announced an investment in CiiNOW, a provider of cloud gaming technology. 

Facebook (FB 19.43, +0.62) advanced 2.6% as Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg is scheduled to speak at the TechCrunch Disrupt Conference at 17:00 ET. This will be Mr. Zuckerberg's first public interview since the company's initial public offering in May. 

Another company which began trading recently, Groupon (GRPN 4.61, +0.34) finished higher by 8.0% after a reported increase in site traffic during the month of August. Shares of the online deals site have rebounded slightly after marking an all-time low at $4.00 last week. 

The trade deficit widened to $42.0 billion during July after a downwardly revised prior month deficit of $41.9 billion. Economists polled by Briefing.com had expected that the deficit for July would come in at $44.0 billion. 

Tomorrow's economic data shows the weekly MBA Mortgage Index will be released at 7:00 ET. Also, export prices ex-agriculture and import prices ex-oil will be reported at 8:30 ET while wholesale inventory data will hit the wires at 10:00 ET. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 2027/973. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1452/994.




After Hours
16:56 ET XRTX -23.0%, GCOM -20.8%, DIOD -0.3% following earnings/guidance :
Equities were broadly higher throughout the day before late afternoon selling sent the Nasdaq into negative territory. The dip also pushed the other indices lower, but they were able to hold most of their gains. The Dow finished higher by 0.5% while the Nasdaq ended flat.
Today after the close the following companies reported earnings: GCOM
Futures are lower after hours: S&P 500 futures are -2.70 from fair value of 1432.80 and Nasdaq100 futures are -4.22 from fair value of 2784.22.
Tomorrow morning before the open two economic reports are scheduled to be released: 1) MBA Mortgage Index, 2) Export Prices ex-ag. and Import prices ex-oil.
Tomorrow before the open look for the following companies to report: PMFG

Commodities





Oil inventory report is coming out today!!!







Treasuries 



As expected... not much movements in the treasuries as well...


The market is going to be flat today as tomorrow is the FOMC statement...


Market Call: FLAT TO THE UPSIDE
Date: 12 SEP 2012

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