Thursday 11 October 2012

11 Oct 2012 AMC


11 Oct 2012
Market Summary 

 


Moving the Market 

Weekly initial claims: 339K actual versus 370K expected. Prior week revised to 369K
Continuing claims: 3.273 million versus 3.288 million prior
August trade deficit: $44.2 billion versus $43.6 billion expected. Prior revised to $42.5 billion
September export prices ex-agriculture: +0.7% actual versus +0.4% prior
September import prices ex-oil: +0.2% actual versus -0.2% prior

PPI (8:30): Briefing 0.5%, consensus 0.8%, prior 1.7%
Core PPI (8:30): Briefing 0.1%, consenus 0.2%, prior 0.2%
Michigan Sentiment (9:55): 80.0, consensus 78.5, prior 78.3
Treasury Budget (14): Briefing -$75.0B, consensus -$75.0B, prior -$62.8B
Oh well... I sort of got the direction right... but market just washed down after that despite all that gains... Luckily i took my profits at the opening bell... That clearly shows how much confidence the bulls have... I'm getting all ready to short already..


Market Internals




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Despite the UVOL and TRIN showing you a bullish picture... the day was red in the market... 

Leaders and Laggards



Not much changes in the sectors but telco was the biggest laggard... On the side note, Sprint is talking to a Jap telco about some 'massive' investment, on a possible buyout.


Technical Updates











This is a very powerful dragonfly doji on all 3 indices....... aint looking good...




Commentaries 







Commodities







Natural Gas spiked.. a 3%.... only managed to catch a little of that trend...


Treasuries





On the treasuries, the 10 year and 30 year has been selling off... like i said the money is flowing out... somewhere...

Based on the economic report coming out on Friday, the Consumer Sentiment and PPI is going to be the mover..

However, given the fact that the bulls refuse to come in despite good economic report... This week is going to be a down week..



Market Call: DOWN
Date: 13 Oct 2012

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